RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4400000 in October 2026? — Above 4.4 million
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 36%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 36%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (25d 17h)
- Volume
- $5,059
- Exchange
- Kalshi
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Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Peace, Love & Pumpkins | Brooklyn Vegan NYC Shows · brooklynvegan.com
- NYC's Phony Interest In Street Safety - OpEd · eurasiareview.com
- NYC Neurologist Accused of Sexually Abusing Two Female Patients · breitbart.com
- NYC to Stop Investing Pension Funds in Israeli Bonds · democracynow.org
- Sumter Co. deputies searching for missing woman last seen last Monday · abccolumbia.com
- NYC Mayor Mamdani Taps New Risk Management Director · law360.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4400000 in October 2026? — Above 4.4 million”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 36%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will NYC subway average weekday ridership (the mean of the MTA's daily subway ridership figures for every Monday through Friday, holidays included) as published in its Daily Ridership and Traffic series be above 4400000 in October 2026? — Above 4.4 million”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 21:32 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.