RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
As of Nov 2, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 11%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 11%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2026 (1d 2h)
- Volume
- $1,497,531
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 10 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Trump rallies in Iowa and Kansas as Republicans fight to keep control · fortmorgantimes.com
- Trump rallies in Iowa and Kansas as Republicans fight to keep Senate and House control · goskagit.com
- Trump rallies in Iowa, Kansas as Republicans fight to retain control of Congress · bdnews24.com
- Trump's rallies in Iowa, Kansas come as Republicans fight to keep Senate and House control · channel3000.com
- Two days out from Election Day, Trump rallies for Iowa Republicans in Dubuque · timesrepublican.com
- Trump rallies Iowa Republicans in Dubuque · kcci.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 11%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Republicans win Iowa, and lose Alaska, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 3, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-02 21:13 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.