Politics · Kalshi

Will Serbia call its presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?

As of Oct 30, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 96%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 96%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Dec 1, 2026 (31d 15h)
Volume: $1,592
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 44 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

EXIT announces historic return to Serbia following student-led Election victory · festivalsherpa.com
Venezuela's Maria Corina Machado hopeful for 2027 presidential election · goskagit.com
Serbia's students won the election, now comes the EU's test · epc.eu
EXIT Festival to return to Serbia following Vučić election defeat · mixmag.net
Haiti delays presidential election to July 2027 · caribbeanherald.com
Haiti delays presidential election to July 2027-Xinhua · english.news.cn

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Serbia call its presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 96%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Serbia call its presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-30 12:48 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.