Politics · Kalshi

Will South Carolina US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate?

As of Oct 31, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 74%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 74%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Nov 10, 2026 (10d 3h)
Volume: $1,000
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

SteelFab Plans Columbia, South Carolina, Manufacturing Operations · areadevelopment.com
Midterms 2026: Can Democrats win the Senate races in Kansas, Nebraska, South Carolina, Florida, or Mississippi? Maybe! · slate.com
Senate Democrats' Super PAC Spends in South Carolina · politicalwire.com
Rabid Bats Confirmed In Two South Carolina Counties · fitsnews.com
South Carolina police close Hayden Panettiere death investigation · jamaica-gleaner.com
Trump holding another midterm rally in South Carolina · wmbfnews.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will South Carolina US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 74%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will South Carolina US Senate have the smallest margin of victory in the November 3, 2026 general elections for Florida US Senate (special election) and South Carolina US Senate?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-31 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.