RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? — Above 9
As of Nov 2, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 4%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 4%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (7d 16h)
- Volume
- $2,267
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 38 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- GCC rejects suggestion that Strait of Hormuz could become irrelevant · newindianexpress.com
- Offshore Tug Hit in Latest Attack in Strait of Hormuz · maritime-executive.com
- Qatar urges maritime security, rejects pressure over Strait of Hormuz · emirates247.com
- Iran says "violating" supertanker caught fire in Hormuz Strait · bignewsnetwork.com
- Strait of Hormuz Ship Attacks Reach Record High in October · khaama.com
- Strait of Hormuz deal: Iran-US war to erupt again? Iranian Supreme Leader Warns US, Israel but Tehran offers Strait of Hormuz deal · indiatimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? — Above 9”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 4%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 9 from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? — Above 9”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-02 21:13 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.