Politics · Kalshi

Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar? — Before Dec 1, 2026

As of Oct 28, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 16%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 16%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Dec 1, 2026 (33d 7h)
Volume: $470
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 33 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

Burlington Forward public safety resolution vote postponed · wcax.com
Ilhan Omar Denies Her Real Name is 'Ilhan Nur Said Elmi' · breitbart.com
175 House Democrats Call for Halt to Ilhan Omar Investigation · theepochtimes.com
Jeanine Pirro argues Ilhan Omar search warrant should stay sealed · foxnews.com
Trump's Attack on Ilhan Omar Is Just the Beginning · thenation.com
DOJ Says Ilhan Omar Warrant Ongoing, Targets 'Other Individuals' · newsweek.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar? — Before Dec 1, 2026”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 16%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the House vote on a resolution to expel Ilhan Omar? — Before Dec 1, 2026”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-28 21:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.