RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the number of the 2026 U.S. Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas won by a Republican candidate be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?
As of Nov 2, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 12%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 12%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 15, 2026 (42d 17h)
- Volume
- $1,730
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 7 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- New Alaska Lawsuits? What Else Can Go Wrong In Alaska Senate Race? · crooksandliars.com
- Alaska Senate race: Criminal investigation opened · chicagotribune.com
- Peltola Denies Knowledge Of Alaska Senate Ballot Scheme · iheart.com
- DOJ expands investigation into Alaska Senate race · youralaskalink.com
- Judge dismisses Alaska Senate race lawsuit · ironmountaindailynews.com
- Election 2026 Alaska Senate · newsminer.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the number of the 2026 U.S. Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas won by a Republican candidate be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 12%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the number of the 2026 U.S. Senate general elections in Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas won by a Republican candidate be at least 5 at the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 15, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-02 21:14 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.