RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
As of Oct 31, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 48%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 48%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 4, 2026 (3d 17h)
- Volume
- $985,133
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- MAJOR FLIP: Democrat Adam Hamilton is now favored to win the Kansas Senate race for the first time · investmentwatchblog.com
- JD Vance rallies Texas Republicans as Democrats gain ground in tight Senate race · thejournal.ie
- Democrats and Republicans take different paths as they try to win the Senate · nbcnews.com
- How a Kansas Megachurch Pastor Might Determine Who Wins the Senate · newyorker.com
- 'Gaslighting' Republicans feeding Trump good news to win attention in final days: report · rawstory.com
- Trump uncancels Kansas rally. He'll now visit Sunday to support Marshall's tight Senate race · kcur.org
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 48%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 4, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-31 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.