Politics · Kalshi

Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Dec 1, 2026?

As of Oct 30, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 26%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 26%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Dec 1, 2026 (31d 15h)
Volume: $618
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 47 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

Mediators propose Iran and US to hold meeting before November 4 · en.apa.az
Pleasant Grove AME to hold camp meeting - Coastal Courier · coastalcourier.com
US Market: Fed expected to hold rates as Iran war fuels inflation concerns · indiatimes.com
Concerned QPS parents hold 1st meeting on special ed program · khqa.com
Zelenskyy: Ukraine hopes to hold trilateral meeting in Abu Dhabi by Nov 10 · en.apa.az
DGs of Assam Rifles, CRPF hold high-level security meeting in Imphal · nagalandpost.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Dec 1, 2026?”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 26%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the U.S. and Iran hold a senior-level meeting before Dec 1, 2026?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-30 12:47 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.