RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? — Above 170
As of Nov 1, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 88%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 88%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 10, 2026 (9d 3h)
- Volume
- $5,222
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 31 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Quad ministers call for navigational freedom in Hormuz, Red Sea, Bab el-Mandeb Strait amid West Asia conflict · aninews.in
- Taiwan thanks allies for supporting Strait peace · taipeitimes.com
- Iran says "violating" supertanker caught fire in Hormuz Strait · bignewsnetwork.com
- 'When there's a will, there's a way': Hamilton goes ecstatic after taking first Ferrari pole · ianslive.in
- Yemeni Government Launches Operation to Secure Bab al-Mandab · globalarabnetwork.com
- Strait of Hormuz deal: Iran-US war to erupt again? Iranian Supreme Leader Warns US, Israel but Tehran offers Strait of Hormuz deal · indiatimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? — Above 170”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 88%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will there be more than 170 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Nov 2, 2026 to Nov 8, 2026? — Above 170”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-01 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.