RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Venezuela call its next presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?
As of Oct 30, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 10%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 10%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 1, 2026 (31d 14h)
- Volume
- $2,387
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Venezuela's Maria Corina Machado hopeful for 2027 presidential election · goskagit.com
- Google's AI Mode Suddenly Can't Recall Who Won the 2020 Presidential Election · pcmag.com
- Venezuela's Maria Corina Machado hopeful for 2027 presidential election – Winnipeg Free Press · winnipegfreepress.com
- Commissioners call special election board meeting · ncnewsonline.com
- Brazil soybean meal prices post sharpest daily drop since April after presidential election · hellenicshippingnews.com
- Haiti delays presidential election to July 2027 · caribbeanherald.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Venezuela call its next presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 10%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Venezuela call its next presidential election before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-30 14:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.