Finance · Kalshi

Fear & Greed Index on Oct 16, 2026? — Extreme Fear

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 22%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 22%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Oct 23, 2026 (7d 22h)
Volume: $5,277
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

IN PHOTOS: ARTfactory's Factory of Fear · insidenova.com
Spreading fear about wolves never goes out of style · taosnews.com
Palestinians fear violent olive harvest ahead of Israeli elections · jordantimes.com
GDP data improves; fear of BoE rate rise increases · mortgagestrategy.co.uk
Ukrainians fear US intelligence cuts as Russian strikes intensify · aljazeera.com
Tunisian Journalists Fear Jail Again as Freedoms Erode · aawsat.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Fear & Greed Index on Oct 16, 2026? — Extreme Fear”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 22%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Fear & Greed Index on Oct 16, 2026? — Extreme Fear”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 23, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 21:32 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.