RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 72%. RocketScience's forecast is 73%, 1.3 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 72%
- Our forecast
- 73%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Oct 28, 2026 (13d 8h)
- Volume
- $1,013,982
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Fed's Daly says rate hikes likely needed, but not urgently — reuters.com
- Nasdaq closes 1.8% lower as as hotter CPI fuels Fed rate hike fears — TradingView
- Fed Interest Rate Hike Seems More Likely This Month After Alarming Inflation Data — Realtor.com
- What to expect at the next Fed meeting now that rate-hike odds are rising — MarketWatch
- Two More Fed Rate Hikes Likely After Governor Waller’s Hawkish Remarks: Goldman Sachs — TradingView
- Fed Policymakers Think Another Interest Rate Hike Is Likely This Year, Minutes Show — Realtor.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 72%. RocketScience forecasts 73% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting? — Fed maintains rate”?
Our call is YES at 73%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 28, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:28 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.