Finance · Polymarket

US imports Russian diesel by December 31?

As of Oct 25, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 86%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.

Market odds: 86%
Our forecast: 🔒 Members
Call: 🔒 Members
Closes: Jan 1, 2027 (67d 18h)
Volume: $45,885
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.

Latest headlines

First Russian Diesel Reaches US Under Surprise Putin-Trump Deal · shafaqna.com
Russian diesel fuel to US · politicaldog101.com
US lawmakers rush to derail Trump's Russian diesel deal · russiaherald.com
US set to receive first Russian diesel shipment since 2022 · azernews.az
First tanker carrying Russian diesel to the US sets sail · wsbradio.com
US lawmakers plot to derail Trump's Russian diesel deal · russiaherald.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “US imports Russian diesel by December 31?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 86%.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “US imports Russian diesel by December 31?”?

Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Jan 1, 2027 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-25 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.