RocketFinance · Polymarket
US imports Russian diesel by November 30?
As of Oct 25, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 82%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 82%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 1, 2026 (36d 18h)
- Volume
- $154,524
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- First Russian Diesel Reaches US Under Surprise Putin-Trump Deal · shafaqna.com
- US set to receive first Russian diesel shipment since 2022 · azernews.az
- US lawmakers rush to derail Trump's Russian diesel deal · russiaherald.com
- US lawmakers plot to derail Trump's Russian diesel deal · russiaherald.com
- First tanker carrying Russian diesel to the United States sets sail · wokv.com
- India-US Trade Deal Talks, Russian Oil Imports And Ukraine Peace Formula · wn.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “US imports Russian diesel by November 30?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 82%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “US imports Russian diesel by November 30?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-25 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.