RocketPolitics · Polymarket
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?
As of Oct 24, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 78%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 78%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 4, 2026 (10d 6h)
- Volume
- $1,148,293
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Trump rally blitz continues in bid to boost Republicans in 2026 midterms · foxnews.com
- Israeli Attacks Kill at Least Four Palestinians in Gaza as IDF Continues Constant Ceasefire Violations · antiwar.com
- First Alert: Pleasant pattern continues through weekend · kfvs12.com
- Bastille to Nation March Authorized for Saturday as Paris Curfew Continues Through the Weekend · themunicheye.com
- Outstanding October weather continues potentially through the end of the month! · cnycentral.com
- Dry, pleasant fall weather continues; patchy fog possible through weekend | Oct. 23, 2026 · wishtv.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 78%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 4, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-24 22:22 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.