Politics · Polymarket

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 14%. RocketScience's forecast is 15%, 0.5 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds: 14%
Our forecast: 15%
Call: NO
Signal: Hold
Closes: Oct 28, 2026 (12d 18h)
Volume: $3,739,056
Exchange: Polymarket

Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗

Why we think this

News: Leans YES across 25 recent articles.

Latest headlines

Naftali Bennett unveils B’Yachad party plan to cut bureaucracy, boost support for olim — msn.com
'Bennett II': Ben-Gvir refuses to sign vote surplus share agreement with Winter's People of Israel — The Jerusalem Post
Bennett: Netanyahu can be a minister in our government if he accepts our core principles — ynetnews.com
Bennett, Lapid pledge to strengthen Israel-Diaspora ties if they’re part of next government — The Times of Israel
Yair Lapid: B'Yachad will not sit in next gov't with Benjamin Netanyahu, Naftali Bennett was ironic — The Jerusalem Post
Bennett says Netanyahu could serve as minister in his cabinet, drawing fury from opposition leaders — Ynetnews

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 14%. RocketScience forecasts 15% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?”?

Our call is NO at 15%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 28, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.