Politics · Polymarket

Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 69%. RocketScience's forecast is 69%, 0.2 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds: 69%
Our forecast: 69%
Call: YES
Signal: Hold
Closes: Oct 25, 2026 (10d 14h)
Volume: $870,306
Exchange: Polymarket

Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗

Why we think this

News: Neutral across 13 recent articles.

Latest headlines

‘Raised India To The Heavens’: Ex-Serbian President Praises PM Modi, Says Attempts Being Made To ‘Tear Him — News18
Trying to tear him down: Ex-Serbian president flags bid to undermine PM Modi — India Today
Serbia’s President Aleksandar Vucic resigns to pursue becoming prime minister in an early parliamentary vote — wtop.com
Serbian President Vučić steps down to seek term as prime minister — yahoo.com
Serbian President Vučić steps down — yahoo.com
Serbia’s populist President Vucic resigns to run for prime minister at early vote — apnews.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 69%. RocketScience forecasts 69% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?”?

Our call is YES at 69%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 25, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.