RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 44%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 44%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 2, 2026 (35d 18h)
- Volume
- $2,582
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Bangkok Post - Cabinet approves B50-billion rooftop solar scheme · bangkokpost.com
- MMEA member killed, two others injured in Sg Padang operation · thestar.com.my
- Germany's Cabinet Approves Draft €590 Family Coverage Limit for 2027 · econotimes.com
- Church staff member arrested in connection with assault of child · abccolumbia.com
- Betty Carter to receive outstanding community college board member award · argusobserver.com
- [Rappler's Best] Yes, Marcos still shuffling his Cabinet · rappler.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 44%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will any member of Trump's Cabinet leave before Dec 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 2, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.