Finance · Kalshi · Resolved

Will average gas prices be above $4.30? — Above 4.30

This market resolved NO on Nov 1, 2026. 29 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 47% (market 36%) and called it NO: correct ✓.

Outcome: NO
Our call: NO
Our forecast: 47%
Market then: 36%
Called: 29h before
Exchange: Kalshi

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Why we think this

News: Neutral across 294 recent articles.

Latest headlines

Riverside County Gas Prices Drop For 29th Straight Day · mynewsla.com
Average LA County Gas Price Drops Under $6 For First Time Since Sept. 11 · mynewsla.com
Baystreet.ca - European Natural Gas Prices Surge to Highest Level Since 2022 · baystreet.ca
Average Riverside County Gas Price Drops For 28th Consecutive Day · mynewsla.com
Of Course Gas/Oil Companies ARE making Money off Higher Gas Prices · politicaldog101.com
Germany Rebuffs Italy's Blame Over Rising European Gas Prices · livemint.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30? — Above 4.30”?

It resolved NO.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30? — Above 4.30”?

Our call is NO at 47%. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 31, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-11-01 08:58 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.