RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?
As of Oct 25, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 48%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 48%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 7, 2026 (43d 4h)
- Volume
- $2,369
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 27 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Trump Fills FGCU to Capacity for Byron Donalds With Eleven Days to Florida's Governor Race · latintimes.com
- President Donald Trump visits Florida as campaigns for governor, Senate hit home stretch · wpbf.com
- Florida's Next Governor and LG: Conversations with the candidates · wqcs.org
- Live updates: Trump to rally for Byron Donalds in Florida · nbcnews.com
- Byron Donalds accused of 'threatening to arrest' his GOP ex-rival during public event · rawstory.com
- James Fishback allegedly threatened with arrest at Byron Donalds event — 'Not welcome here' · cedarnews.net
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 48%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Byron Donalds's Florida Governor margin be larger than Darline Graham's South Carolina Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-25 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.