Politics · Kalshi
Will it be reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives that Ilhan Omar casts a recorded vote in the U.S. House of Representatives before Dec 1, 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 70%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Minnesota Senate Race Shaken by ICE, Fraud and Ilhan Omar Probe—What Polls Show · newsweek.com
- Trump's Vile Persecution of Ilhan Omar Is About to Run Into a Wall (gag) · freerepublic.com
- Trump's Vile Persecution of Ilhan Omar Is About to Run Into a Wall · newrepublic.com
- Democrats Demand Justice Department Drop Investigation into Ilhan Omar · breitbart.com
- Ilhan Omar posts Somali song with threatening lyrics amid federal probe · foxnews.com
- Did Ilhan Omar Send a Veiled Threat to Her Somali Constituents? · hotair.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will it be reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives that Ilhan Omar casts a recorded vote in the U.S. House of Representatives before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 70%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will it be reported by the Clerk of the U.S. House of Representatives that Ilhan Omar casts a recorded vote in the U.S. House of Representatives before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? crowd 28%
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? crowd 92%
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House crowd 8%
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? crowd 8%
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House crowd 66%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? crowd 92%
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? crowd 66%
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? crowd 8%
Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.