RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Benson by 0-3
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 12%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Trump vows to make Abdul El- Sayed go through metal detectors in Senate if he wins · dailymail.com
- Trump dials up Islamophobia against Abdul El-Sayed at Michigan Senate rally · aljazeera.com
- Abdul El-Sayed's Senate campaign denies pro-Palestinian ad · jpost.com
- Barack Obama to rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan ahead of key US Senate race – US politics live · theguardian.com
- Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed ties to antisemite's sympathizer: Revealing paper trail and new photo expose depth of alliance · dailymail.com
- Networks Criticize Trump Over Attacks on Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed · newsbusters.org
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Benson by 0-3”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 12%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Jocelyn Benson's governor margin minus Abdul El-Sayed's Senate margin be between 0 and 3 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Benson by 0-3”?
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When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.