RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 15 and 18 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Ossoff by 15-18
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 11%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Black voters can help Keisha Lance Bottoms make history · thegrio.com
- Rita Ora and Taika Waititi enjoy date night, Lil Jon celebrates book launch and more sightings · pagesix.com
- Jon Gosselin pleads for contact with 6 estranged kids after memoir · foxnews.com
- Jon Gosselin Issues Heartbreaking Message To Estranged Kids After Son Colin Accused Mom Kate Of Horrifying Treatment · boredpanda.com
- Jon Bernthal's Forgotten 103-Minute Crime Thriller Is Officially Being Cut from Netflix This Week · movieweb.com
- Midterms 2026: Jon Ossoff's TikTok Campaign, Ken Paxton's Texas Tour, and More Political Powermaxxing · vanityfair.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 15 and 18 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Ossoff by 15-18”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 11%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Jon Ossoff's Senate margin minus Keisha Lance Bottoms's governor margin be between 15 and 18 percentage points in the November 3, 2026 general election? — Ossoff by 15-18”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? crowd 28%
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? crowd 92%
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House crowd 8%
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? crowd 8%
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House crowd 66%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? crowd 92%
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? crowd 66%
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? crowd 8%
Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.