RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 6%. RocketScience's forecast is 4%, 2.7 points below the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 6%
- Our forecast
- 4%
- Call
- NO
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Oct 24, 2026 (8d 18h)
- Volume
- $27,728
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- News: Leans YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Humiliation for new press secretary Katie Zacharia as brutal texts reveal she was 'set up to fail': Read messages being sent around the White House after her 'dumpster fire' debut — dailymail.com
- Questions swirl about new White House press secretary Katie Zacharia’s resume — chicagotribune.com
- Katie Zacharia holds first briefing as White House press secretary — upi.com
- New Press Secretary Katie Zacharia faces questions about legal credentials — postandcourier.com
- Katie Zacharia Delivers Powerful Inaugural Briefing as the 37th White House Press Secretary — The White House (.gov)
- New White House Press Secretary Katie Zacharia Roasted For Shaky First Briefing — Forbes
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 6%. RocketScience forecasts 4% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Katie Zacharia be out as White House Press Secretary before Oct 24, 2026?”?
Our call is NO at 4%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 24, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? 92%
- Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? 11%
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 30%
- 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House 9%
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House 63%
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? 25%
- Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? 66%
- Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? 15%
Last updated 2026-10-15 08:28 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.