RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?
As of Oct 26, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 28%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 28%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Oct 28, 2026 (1d 17h)
- Volume
- $1,341,400
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 27 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Democrats Projected to Win 229 House Seats Amid Economic Concerns in Midterm Elections · openthemagazine.com
- Rodgers now alone with 3rd-most TD passes as Steelers win 1st Paris game · thegamenashville.com
- Carney's high popularity, referendum win, and a new right-of-centre party could help Liberals win 10-15 more seats in Alberta in next election, say some politicos - The Hill Times · hilltimes.com
- Israel elections 2026: What's at stake for Netanyahu? Key challengers, seats needed to win and more · indiatimes.com
- Democrats projected to win 229 House seats as economic concerns weigh on voters: CBS News polls · aninews.in
- "Large victory over Likud will ensure change": Gadi Eisenkot calls for support ahead of Israel election on Tuesday · aninews.in
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 28%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 28, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-26 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.