RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 20%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- China cautions against 'hijacking' ASEAN defense talks ahead of Hegseth visit · news.az
- UK Must Be Ready For War In 1,000 Days, Says British Defense Secretary · zerohedge.com
- Zelenskyy says Hegseth has delayed signing documents on air defense missiles for Ukraine · en.apa.az
- Leaked Pentagon group chat reveals vulgar nickname for Trump-pick Army chief: Read texts laying bare ugly new war at very top of Pete Hegseth's department · dailymail.com
- WAR WARNING: Britain Has Just Over 1,000 Days To Prepare For Possible Conflict, Defense Secretary Says · theyeshivaworld.com
- Pete Hegseth eyeing Senate seat as impeachment threat looms: report · aol.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 20%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Pete Hegseth announce their departure as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.