RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?
As of Oct 24, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 21%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 21%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 1, 2026 (37d 6h)
- Volume
- $3,733
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 20 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Pete Hegseth Wanted Eisenhower's Priceless WWII Globe in His Office: Staff Moved It Without Experts and Broke It · ibtimes.co.uk
- Pete Hegseth Designates Confucius Institutes as National Security Threat · legalinsurrection.com
- History of Eisenhower's Globe Amid Claims Pete Hegseth's Staff Broke It · newsweek.com
- Pete Hegseth signs off testing for new military weapon other American officials passed on · independent.co.uk
- Globe Used by Dwight D. Eisenhower Broken by Pete Hegseth's Staff · artnews.com
- Historic globe, used by Dwight D. Eisenhower as an army general in WWII, damaged by Pete Hegseth's staff: Report · hindustantimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 21%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-24 22:22 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.