RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin be larger than Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?
As of Oct 24, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 43%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 43%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 7, 2026 (43d 16h)
- Volume
- $3,026
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 6 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Roger Marshall and Adam Hamilton face off in fiery final Kansas Senate debate · aol.com
- JD Vance is coming to Kansas to support Roger Marshall for the second time in 2 months · kcur.org
- Campaign finance group seeks investigation into Roger Marshall's alleged ethics violations | Trusted News Source for Wichita & Kansas · kake.com
- Roger Marshall Reminds Kansas Voters Border Security, Tax Cuts Are at Stake in Senate Race · breitbart.com
- Kansas Sen. Roger Marshall says the Ukraine war, not the Iran war, has caused high diesel prices · dailygazette.com
- Fact-checking Roger Marshall, Adam Hamilton on diesel prices, SNAP in Kansas U.S. Senate debate – PolitiFact · politifact.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin be larger than Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 43%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Roger Marshall's Kansas Senate margin be larger than Ashley Hinson's Iowa Senate margin in the November 3, 2026 general election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 7, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-24 22:22 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.