Politics · Polymarket

Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 38%. RocketScience's forecast is 38%, 0.3 points below the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds: 38%
Our forecast: 38%
Call: NO
Signal: Hold
Closes: Oct 25, 2026 (10d 14h)
Volume: $594,106
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

News: Neutral across 25 recent articles.

Latest headlines

Serbian students aim to graduate from antigovernment protests to forming new government — irishtimes.com
The REC rejected the objections of the Student List, the students announced an appeal — vreme.com
RIK rejects Student List diaspora objections, appeal looms — srpske.rs
MORE AND MORE SERBS FROM KOSOVO TURN THEIR BACKS ON VUČIĆ: Three Serbian organizations from Kosovo call for support for the Students’ List! — Serbiantimes.info
Student List Final Rally at Slavija on October 22 — srpske.rs
Debate on Serbia’s path to EU membership — serbianmonitor.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 38%. RocketScience forecasts 38% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?”?

Our call is NO at 38%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 25, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:28 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.