RocketFinance · Polymarket
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
As of Oct 31, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 19%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 19%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 4, 2026 (4d 0h)
- Volume
- $46,996
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- "India-Brazil ties are truly strategic": MEA highlights growing cooperation; ambitious USD 30 billion trade target · argentinastar.com
- Japan's central bank keeps interest rate unchanged, says inflation target generally achieved-Xinhua · english.news.cn
- First Trust Energy AlphaDEX Fund (NYSEARCA:FXN) Sees Significant Decrease in Short Interest · themarketsdaily.com
- Brazil Stocks Fall 2.68% as Banks Slide | Brazil Market Report, Oct 28 · riotimesonline.com
- Vanguard Energy ETF (NYSEARCA:VDE) Sees Large Decrease in Short Interest · themarketsdaily.com
- United Bankshares reports decrease in 2026 3Q earnings | Business · wvgazettemail.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 19%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 4, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-31 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.