RocketFinance · Polymarket
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?
As of Oct 28, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 17%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 17%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 9, 2026 (42d 2h)
- Volume
- $141,044
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 21 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Fed decision about interest rate hike could impact mid-terms · 949starcountry.com
- Fed expected to hold interest rates steady but a hike is anticipated by year's end · klcc.org
- Fed Pauses Interest Rates as CRE Market Preps for December Hike · commercialobserver.com
- Fed rate decision today: Fed meeting today: October interest rate decision, December rate hike outlook and what Kevin Warsh may signal · indiatimes.com
- Gold and silver price prediction: Why are gold and silver prices falling today? Silver breaks its July low, and gold could drop toward $3,900 if the Fed signals a December rate hike · indiatimes.com
- Fed likely to wait on another rate hike as inflation pressures mount · cbs2iowa.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 17%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 9, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More finance predictions
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? crowd 78%
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? crowd 18%
- Another Fed rate hike in 2026? crowd 76%
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? crowd 6%
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? crowd 2%
- GTA 6 launch postponed again? crowd 6%
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? crowd 97%
- Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? crowd 2%
Last updated 2026-10-28 21:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.