RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 3
As of Oct 25, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 94%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 15 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- UPDATES: US War on Iran, Day 239 - Attacks on Shipping in Strait Of Hormuz Highest Since March · eaworldview.com
- War fears grow as tankers hit in Strait of Hormuz · jamaica-gleaner.com
- October Marks Highest Number of Strait of Hormuz Attacks · freerepublic.com
- Strait Of Hormuz Ship Attacks Reach New High In · marinelink.com
- Iran says seven tankers were damaged in Strait of Hormuz · theshillongtimes.com
- Iran says 7 oil tankers attacked in Strait of Hormuz · japantoday.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 3”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 94%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the highest single-day number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz be more than 3 from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 3”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 3, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-25 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.