RocketScience

Politics · Kalshi

Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026? — Above 1

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 23%. RocketScience's forecast is 23%, 0.2 points above the market, and our call is NO. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds
23%
Our forecast
23%
Call
NO
Signal
Hold
Closes
Oct 31, 2026 (16d 4h)
Volume
$1,245
Exchange
Kalshi

Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗

Why we think this

  • News: Leans YES across 10 recent articles.

Latest headlines

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026? — Above 1”?

Traders on Kalshi price it at 23%. RocketScience forecasts 23% (NO), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 11, 2026 and Oct 17, 2026? — Above 1”?

Our call is NO at 23%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 31, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.