RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
As of Oct 25, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 36%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 36%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 19, 2026 (25d 3h)
- Volume
- $7,223
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- South African author defends AI book writing · straitstimes.com
- Health leads World Mental Health Day commemoration, 24 Oct | South African Government · gov.za
- South African presidency website temporarily offline after PHP warning · sundayworld.co.za
- Thermal coal prices approach one-year high, boosting South African mining stocks · miningmx.com
- South African AI Awards to recognise innovation that creates opportunity · mg.co.za
- South African mother gets double life sentence for poisoning children, filming dying child · maravipost.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 36%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 19, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-25 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.