RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? — Before Dec 1, 2026
As of Oct 24, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 6%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 6%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 1, 2026 (37d 16h)
- Volume
- $2,689
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Kim, Trump agree to complete denuclearization · sanews.gov.za
- Yankees, pitching coach Matt Blake agree on new three-year deal · pinstripealley.com
- SGE, Origin agree to work together on UK nuclear operations · theconstructionindex.co.uk
- Rio Tinto and China's state buyer agree on iron ore supply deal · mining.com
- Red Sox, Riley Adams Agree To Minor League Deal · mlbtraderumors.com
- PM Modi, Polish PM Donald Tusk agree to deepen cooperation in defence, space, nuclear energy · hindustantimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? — Before Dec 1, 2026”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 6%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the US agree to a new Iranian nuclear deal this year? — Before Dec 1, 2026”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-24 22:22 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.