RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 185
As of Oct 24, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 56%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 56%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2026 (9d 15h)
- Volume
- $2,140
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 25 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Messina-Reggio, in the Strait Pact Caminiti warns from Villa: there is no integration without territorial continuity · odnako.org
- Cardoso: There are other trophies to win · kickoff.com
- There are no dead courses but dead curricula · pmnewsnigeria.com
- Shocking theory claims there are only six continents · dailymail.com
- Move over, there's literally no room · thesil.ca
- Strait Of Hormuz Ship Attacks Reach New High In · marinelink.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 185”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 56%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will there be more than 185 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 185”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 3, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-24 22:22 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.