RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 30
As of Oct 25, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 26%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 14 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Trump wants to rename Hormuz to Trump Strait · en.apa.az
- Strait Of Hormuz Ship Attacks Reach New High In · marinelink.com
- Iran: 7 oil tankers attacked in Strait of Hormuz · newburyportnews.com
- Iran says seven tankers were damaged in Strait of Hormuz · theshillongtimes.com
- Iran says 7 oil tankers attacked in Strait of Hormuz · japantoday.com
- Seven tankers reportedly damaged in Strait of Hormuz overnight · wn.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 30”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 26%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will there be more than 30 transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz from Oct 26, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026? — Above 30”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 3, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-25 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.