RocketPolitics · Kalshi
Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 17%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
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Why we think this
- We weigh 28 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- 14 Black Celebrities Who Have Publicly Supported Donald Trump · hotspotatl.com
- Kevin Warsh, forward guidance and the Nobel Prize · livemint.com
- Networks Criticize Trump Over Attacks on Michigan Democrat Abdul El-Sayed · newsbusters.org
- Democrats Are Using the Soviet Playbook – Publicly Call for Nationalizing Private Businesses to Punish Elon Musk for Supporting Trump – Musk Responds with Fire · freerepublic.com
- Roundup: Japanese netizens criticize government's belated response to Mongolian grassland fire · azerbaijannews.net
- 'We got this incredibly wrong': Schieve and community members criticize ALPR contract vote · kunr.org
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 17%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.