RocketFinance · Polymarket
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 96%. RocketScience's forecast is 96%, 0.3 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 96%
- Our forecast
- 96%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Oct 30, 2026 (14d 14h)
- Volume
- $65,714
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- BOJ should not be overly cautious raising rates, board member Koeda says — msn.com
- What is the Bank of Japan's interest rate hike? If loan interest rates rise by 0.25%, the interest on a 30 million yen loan will increase by 75,000 yen per year — note.com
- Mortgage Rates Forecast For 2026: Experts Predict Whether Interest Rates Will Drop — Forbes
- Bank of Japan Likely to Pause Rate Hikes in October, December Move Odds Near 90% — BigGo Finance
- Japan Week Ahead: BOJ Policymakers to Get More Q3 Data Before Oct. 29-30 Meeting; Board Widely Expected to Hold Rates Steady Until December or January — TradingView
- British Pound trades subduedly against Japanese Yen, BoE’s Greene supports quick rate hikes — FXStreet
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 96%. RocketScience forecasts 96% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?”?
Our call is YES at 96%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 30, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.