RocketFinance · Polymarket
Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 16?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 52%. RocketScience's forecast is 53%, 1.4 points above the market, and our call is Not sure. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 52%
- Our forecast
- 53%
- Call
- Not sure
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Oct 22, 2026 (6d 22h)
- Volume
- –
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Leans YES across 25 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- When can you buy a Tesla Cybercab? Investors press Elon Musk on robotaxis, HW3 FSD and more ahead of TSLA's Q3 earnings — msn.com
- Alphabet Might Use Waymo to Destroy Tesla’s First-Mover "Robotaxi Monopoly" Premium — 24/7 Wall St.
- Dan Ives Says AI Capex Boom Continues 'Full Steam Ahead' After TSLA, GOOGL Earnings — Gene Munster Notes Tech Industry Still In '3rd Inning' — Stocktwits
- Tesla: Germany's U-Turn Could Unlock Up To €932 Million A Year — seekingalpha.com
- Tesla to Post Q3 Earnings: Will Automotive Margins Play a Spoilsport? — finance.yahoo.com
- My Position on Tesla Will Not Change Until Two Things Happen — AOL.ca
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 16?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 52%. RocketScience forecasts 53% (Not sure), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Tesla (TSLA) Up or Down on October 16?”?
Our call is Not sure at 53%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Oct 22, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.