RocketFinance · Polymarket
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 77%. RocketScience's forecast is 77%, 0.2 points above the market, and our call is YES. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.
- Market odds
- 77%
- Our forecast
- 77%
- Call
- YES
- Signal
- Hold
- Closes
- Nov 1, 2026 (16d 18h)
- Volume
- $113,108
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Neutral across 14 recent articles.
- Shock: the odds moved sharply on Oct 15, 2026; the forecast followed the market at once and older news was down-weighted.
Latest headlines
- Invest in 3 Nomura Mutual Funds for Long-Term Growth — TradingView
- Apple and Nvidia are the two largest companies in the world. Which is the better stock to buy? — msn.com
- Apple, Nvidia, Microsoft, Alphabet, and Amazon: I Ranked the 5 Largest Companies by Market Cap, and 1 Stands Above the Rest — msn.com
- The 5 Largest Companies by Market Cap in 2026: Why I Think Nvidia Will Stay No. 1 by 2028 — msn.com
- Nvidia Will Be The World’s First $10 Trillion Company — 247wallst.com
- Apple reclaims world’s largest market cap from Nvidia — seekingalpha.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 77%. RocketScience forecasts 77% (YES), updated Oct 15, 2026.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?”?
Our call is YES at 77%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 1, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-15 08:29 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.