Finance · Polymarket

Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 16?

As of Oct 15, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 50%. RocketScience's forecast is 50%, 0.4 points above the market, and our call is Not sure. The gap is too small to act on, so the signal is Hold.

Market odds: 50%
Our forecast: 50%
Call: Not sure
Signal: Hold
Closes: Oct 22, 2026 (6d 22h)
Volume: –
Exchange: Polymarket

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Why we think this

News: Neutral across 5 recent articles.

Latest headlines

Tesla Stock Is Down 15% This Year. Is the $396 Street Target Within Reach? — finance.yahoo.com
TSLA Price Prediction: $268 Bear Trap or $415 Breakout — The Line in the Sand Is $350 — blockchain.news
Tesla Beat on Deliveries. Why the Upside Case Is Only 9% — 247wallst.com
TSLA Price Prediction: Bulls Stalling at Pivot as MACD Goes Dead — $400 or $350 Within 30 Days — blockchain.news
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) Bull, Base and Bear Price Prediction and Forecast — 247wallst.com

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds for “Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 16?”?

Traders on Polymarket price it at 50%. RocketScience forecasts 50% (Not sure), updated Oct 15, 2026.

What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $350 on October 16?”?

Our call is Not sure at 50%. We say YES at 60% or more, NO at 40% or less, and Not sure in between.

When does this market close?

It closes on Oct 22, 2026 (UTC).

How is the forecast made?

We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.

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Last updated 2026-10-15 13:00 UTC. Forecasts are for research only, not financial advice.