RocketPolitics · Polymarket
JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?
As of Nov 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 22%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 22%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 30, 2026 (26d 5h)
- Volume
- $39,489
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 33 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- US Midterm Elections Poised to Judge Trump's Presidential Record - Jowhar News Leader · jowhar.com
- Melbourne Cup live 2026, full field, finishing order, favourites, odds, start time | The Northern Daily Leader · northerndailyleader.com.au
- Melbourne Cup live 2026, full field, finishing order, favourites, odds, start time | St George & Sutherland Shire Leader · theleader.com.au
- Oyebamiji leads Osun APC parallel presidential campaign coun · punchng.com
- Jon Ossoff Looks Pretty Presidential - Worldnews.com · wn.com
- DCP deputy leader Malala rejects marginalisation claims and backs Senator Sifuna's presidential bid · kenya-today.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 22%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “JD Vance 2028 presidential odds leader on November 30?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 30, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 30%
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 70%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? crowd 36%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? crowd 30%
- Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 12%
- Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 48%
- Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 86%
- Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 52%
Last updated 2026-11-04 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.