RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?
As of Nov 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 48%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 48%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 29, 2026 (24d 17h)
- Volume
- $115,035
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 30 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Election results: Oakland re-elects Mayor Barbara Lee in a landslide · eastbaytimes.com
- Le Center Mayor Christian Harmeyer, Councilor Dan Steffen win re-election unopposed · southernminn.com
- Monterey election: Mayor Williamson heading to a landslide win · montereyherald.com
- Oakland Mayor Barbara Lee holds large lead in bid for reelection · abc7news.com
- Nicole Brown projected to win reelection for Ypsilanti mayor · easternecho.com
- Pacific Grove Mayor Nick Smith Leads Re-Election | News · montereycountynow.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 48%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 29, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 30%
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 70%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? crowd 36%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? crowd 30%
- Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 12%
- Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 86%
- Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 52%
- Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by November 30? crowd 30%
Last updated 2026-11-04 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.