RocketPolitics · Polymarket · Resolved
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?
This market resolved YES on Nov 4, 2026. 2 hours before that, RocketScience forecast 29% (market 97%) and called it NO: wrong ✗.
- Outcome
- YES
- Our call
- NO
- Our forecast
- 29%
- Market then
- 97%
- Called
- 2h before
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- News: Likely NO across 23 recent articles.
Latest headlines
- Yemen's Houthis say Saudi strikes killed 17 people over two days · freemalaysiatoday.com
- Saudi-Backed Forces Strike Market in Yemen's Taiz Province, Killing 10 Civilians: Yemeni Media · antiwar.com
- Saudi Airstrikes in Yemen's Taiz Province Kill Five Civilians: Health Ministry · antiwar.com
- Saudi forces say intercepted drone, as Yemen's Houthis announce 17 killed in two days · thehindu.com
- EU strongly condemns Houthi escalation in Yemen, attacks on Saudi Arabia · sana.sy
- Yemen coalition says it destroyed Houthi missile targeting Saudi Arabia · sana.sy
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?”?
It resolved YES.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 4?”?
Our call is NO at 29%. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 5, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-11-04 11:24 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.