RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?
As of Nov 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 96%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 96%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 6, 2026 (1d 17h)
- Volume
- $39,096
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 23 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Yemen's Houthis say Saudi strikes killed 17 people over two days · freemalaysiatoday.com
- Saudi-Backed Forces Strike Market in Yemen's Taiz Province, Killing 10 Civilians: Yemeni Media · antiwar.com
- Saudi Airstrikes in Yemen's Taiz Province Kill Five Civilians: Health Ministry · antiwar.com
- Saudi forces say intercepted drone, as Yemen's Houthis announce 17 killed in two days · thehindu.com
- EU strongly condemns Houthi escalation in Yemen, attacks on Saudi Arabia · sana.sy
- Yemen coalition says it destroyed Houthi missile targeting Saudi Arabia · sana.sy
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 96%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Saudi coalition strike in Yemen on November 5?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 6, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 30%
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 70%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? crowd 36%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? crowd 30%
- Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 12%
- Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 48%
- Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 86%
- Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 52%
Last updated 2026-11-04 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.