RocketPolitics · Polymarket
Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?
As of Nov 4, 2026, traders on Polymarket price this market at 6%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 6%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Nov 16, 2026 (11d 17h)
- Volume
- $34,593
- Exchange
- Polymarket
Open the live chart Trade on Polymarket ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 19 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- From the Free Press files... · dailygazette.com
- 2 UFO Sightings Reported Week Of Halloween In Southern Idaho · newsradio1310.com
- Ohio couple files $30M lawsuit saying they were injured when booted from a Trump midterm rally · independent.co.uk
- Minnesota Power Files For Rate Increase · katcountry989.com
- Veteran Shouted 'Release the Epstein Files, You Spineless Coward' at Donald Trump Rally in Kansas · ibtimes.co.uk
- Map shows Merseyside's UFO hotspots as Pentagon releases files · liverpoolecho.co.uk
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?”?
Traders on Polymarket price it at 6%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Trump declassifies new UFO files by November 15?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Nov 16, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
More politics predictions
- Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 30%
- Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? crowd 70%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? crowd 36%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? crowd 30%
- Will PSOE win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 12%
- Will Lee Shu-chuan win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 48%
- Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? crowd 86%
- Will Su Chiao-hui win the next New Taipei Mayor election? crowd 52%
Last updated 2026-11-04 11:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.