RocketFinance · Kalshi
Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 74%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 74%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 9, 2026 (43d 8h)
- Volume
- $8,768
- Exchange
- Kalshi
Open the live chart Trade on Kalshi ↗
Why we think this
- We weigh 17 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- Federal Reserve Expected to Tap Brakes On Rate Hikes · politicalwire.com
- Gold slips weighed down by a firmer US dollar, while investors looked ahead to the Federal Reserve's policy meeting for fresh guidance · thehindubusinessline.com
- Swiss Franc Gains Against Dollar Ahead of Federal Reserve Meeting · econotimes.com
- Bitcoin retreats below $80,000 as broader risk-off sentiment ahead of a Federal Reserve meeting · thehindubusinessline.com
- Ernie Goss discuss whether Federal Reserve will address interest rates · hubcityradio.com
- Gold and Silver Rise as Oil Eases Before Federal Reserve Meeting · econotimes.com
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 74%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their December 2026 meeting? — Hike 25bps”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 9, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.