Finance · Kalshi
Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, traders on Kalshi price this market at 18%. RocketScience has a live forecast and a YES / NO call on it, updated the moment the news or the odds move. Sign up free to see today's picks, or go Pro for every call.
- Market odds
- 18%
- Our forecast
- 🔒 Members
- Call
- 🔒 Members
- Closes
- Dec 10, 2026 (44d 3h)
- Volume
- $6,070
- Exchange
- Kalshi
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Why we think this
- We weigh 26 stored news events for this market, the live order book and, for crypto, a spot-price model. The reasoning and the full story are for Pro members.
Latest headlines
- US Treasury yields hold steady ahead of fed rate decision, PCE inflation data and key US economic reports this week · hindustantimes.com
- Bank of Canada expected to hike rate on Wednesday to stem spillover of energy inflation · aol.com
- September quarter inflation data figures a pivotal test for Reserve Bank amid a possible interest rate rise due to stubborn inflation · afr.com
- Japan's trend inflation index hits 3-year high, cements case for BOJ rate hike · businesstimes.com.sg
- Campaigners say inflation has eroded more than £500m from core farming budget — The Sheep Site · thesheepsite.com
- State Bank hikes Policy Rate to 12% as Oil Price Surge, Inflation Risks jolts Pakistan's Economy · pakobserver.net
Frequently asked questions
What are the odds for “Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?”?
Traders on Kalshi price it at 18%.
What is RocketScience's prediction for “Will the rate of core CPI inflation be above 3.0% for the year ending in November 2026?”?
Our forecast and call on this market are for members. Sign up free to see today's picks. Every call is YES or NO: YES when our own forecast is 50% or more.
When does this market close?
It closes on Dec 10, 2026 (UTC).
How is the forecast made?
We start from the live exchange price, filter out noise, add the direction of recent news (and a spot-price model for crypto), and re-forecast instantly when the odds jump.
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Last updated 2026-10-27 10:00 UTC. Forecasts are for information only, not advice. Do your own research.